短中期美债收益率于 “美联储降息日” 至少涨超 10 个基点，点阵图暗示 FOMC 明年只有两次宽松机会

On Wednesday (December 18), at the end of trading in New York, the yield on the U.S. 10-year benchmark Treasury bond rose by 11.53 basis points to 4.5140%, trading within a range of 4.3790%-4.5220% during the day. At 03:00 Beijing time, when the Federal Reserve released its interest rate decision statement and Summary of Economic Projections (SEP, including the dot plot for interest rate forecasts), it broke the day's consolidation around 4.4% and surged. After the close of the U.S. stock market, it approached the top of 4.57% on May 31, 2024, having reached 4.7351% on April 25 of that year. The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond rose by 10.98 basis points to 4.3545%, trading within a range of 4.2067%-4.3609% during the day. The Federal Reserve's upward revision of policy rate expectations compared to the September SEP caused a "gap up" in the rates, and the day’s high was refreshed before the end of the press conference by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell